Monday was another mixed day on Wall Street. And it’s clear that the cause is NVIDIA and the chip stocks. The Dow had a decent enough day. The Russell 2000 was up. The NASDAQ and S&P 500, not so much. NVIDIA, which is down over 15% from its all-time high set just last week, is a member of neither the Dow nor the Russell.
Advancing stocks actually led decliners by two-to-one, although on falling volume.
Often, when one sector, like semiconductors, falters after having supplied market leadership, another sector will emerge to lead stocks higher. This is known as sector rotation, although figuring out who is rotating out and what is rotating in is more art than science. And by “art” I mean guessing game.
But, it’s a real thing. Could it be the financials? The retailers? Manufacturing? (Be still my heart.) So far, it’s none of the above, but we will be keeping an eye out!
The major indexes finished mixed on falling volume. As we said, NVIDIA and the chips stocks deserve most of the blame.
Rates were lower on Monday but very nearly flat for the second session in a row as the market awaits the PCE data due out later this week.
Five weeks ago, the Dow began a bit of a sell off – it ended up losing around 5% in about two weeks while the NASDAQ and the S&P 500 were making a series of new, all-time highs. Now, it appears that the script has flipped. The S&P and the NASDAQ have had three straight losing days, days where they closed at or near their low for the day, while the Dow has rallied and is now within striking distance of a new all-time high of its own.
Regular listeners know that divergences, of any kind, but especially when the Dow, which is just thirty stocks is making highs while the broad market is selling off worry us. A lot.
But it is often said that stocks climb a wall of worry. If that aphorism is true, and we suspect it is, all is well on Wall Street.
Nothing on the Economic calendar either yesterday or today. Inflation data is due out on Thursday and Friday.
Don’t worry. But keep it right here on the Buzz.