Stocks traded in a narrow range to finish mixed on Monday as volume falls again. Is it that traders are on the sidelines awaiting the PCE data due out on Friday?
Or is everybody buying Bitcoin down on South Beach?
In normal times, Monday would have been just a normal down day. But these are not normal times if there even is such a thing. In the shadow of spiking inflation and higher for longer and a rally that was nearly straight up for five months now, every down day feels like it could be the beginning of the next bear market.
Rates were up across the board on Monday.
It’s hard to tell if the market drifting lower over the last couple of days is a result of no news to push the rally forward or, the fact that it’s a holiday week and a lot of people are out of town or that the news that is coming could be so consequential.
All we can say for sure is that there was nothing to report on Friday. Yesterday, we got mixed data from the housing market. Later this morning we get durable goods orders. All of it is interesting but unlikely to move the market.
And all of it lies in the shadow of Friday morning when the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index, the PCE measure of inflation, is released and released on a day when the markets are closed.
We are genuinely intrigued by the content and the form. What will the PEC report tell us about the battle with inflation? And what are the implications for markets on Thursday and Monday.
We will report all of it as it happens to you here on the Buzz.